Thomas P. M. Barnett BlogWrote this last June as possible publication, but it was a bit beyond the pale for journal, which wanted dramatic changes. Not unusual for me happens with every new tack I undertake the new map suffered similarly. I liked it as it was, so we parted on that disagreement. I later used it in China as a written version of the presentations I gave there in Beijing and Shanghai August 2. I post it here now because Ive recently received a number of requests based on my 2. DC a further iteration of my presentations in China. I also post it because these things just get lost over time if I dont. Americas Post Oil Grand Strategyby Thomas P. M. Barnett. June 2. The United States defaulted to a Middle East centric grand strategy in the waning years of the Cold War and has remained stuck there ever since sometimes in denial like now and sometimes in fervent embrace George W. Bush and his neocons but always in a manner that demanded some measure of White House attention. That seemingly unbreakable focus particularly in relation to allies Israel and Saudi Arabia now rapidly dissipates, falling victim first to a technological curveball and ultimately to a demographic shift that leaves Americans less willing to police the world and more interested in recasting their pursuit of happiness. Americas political leaders have taken to describing this era as one of unprecedented uncertainty, but this is hardly the case. Globalization is either winning or has won across all the worlds regions, leaving only the question of which global brands American, Chinese, Indian, European, Russian will dominate where. President Obama and much of Washington now project the nations grand strategic ambitions in the direction of Asia, but they are mistaken. Americas historical scheme of integrating the world laterally West to East since World War II is largely complete, meaning these United States now enter an age of vertical integration North to South in the Western Hemisphere. This latitudinal expansion of the American System once imagined by our Founding Fathers will define U. S. foreign policy across the rest of this century. The technological curveball that arrives just in time. In many ways, the hybrid U. S. economic system of big firms surrounded by a sea of small, technology innovating start ups represents the purest real world expression of Karl Marxs dialectic materialism a theory of history that tracks causality from inexorable technological advance to altered economic reality to inevitable political change. What Marx never imagined was a political system able to structure itself so that those technological waves would just keep coming over the decades, consistently buying off the electoral acquiescence of the lower and middle classes in the face of elite domination oftentimes real, sometimes just imagined of the highest levels of government. In Marxian terminology, Americas political superstructure has learned how to co evolve with its economic base better than any nation state in history. The feedback loop that has allowed that successful co evolution is Americas sometimes stunningly permissive rule of law. Basically, you can try or invent just about anything in America that isnt currently prohibited by law, whose construction trails innovation sometimes for decades. In too much of the rest of the world, ones innovation and industry is limited to what is allowed by law. Do Americans pay for that permissiveness  Regularly in the form of surges in criminality, environmental damage, labor abuse and sheer greed. But thanks to our participatory regulatory and legal systems, the little guy can fight back and can make those bastards pay for what theyve done  So while the construction of protective laws trails crimes, disasters, and tragedies of the common, it never falls so far behind that the political system fractures save for our unique historical experience with slavery. Thus, it is only fitting that Americas historically recent Middle East centric grand strategy, seemingly beholden as it was to the goal of assuring the worlds access to affordable energy, now falls victim to yet the latest in a long string of U. S. triggered technological waves the so called fracking revolution. This silver bullet development, coming as it does just as two new, energy import dependent superpowers China, India rise in the East, could not be more fortuitous for extending the global moratorium on great power war begun with the invention of nuclear weapons. It essentially introduces enough slack in the world energy system to allow both Asian giants to step into their economic primes without needing to militarily challenge either the United States or its long nurtured global trade system. When combined with the Western Hemispheres most crucial resource advantage namely, arable land in an age of global climate change, Americas new found energy independence fundamentally prevents any historical repeat of the structural run ups to World Wars I or II, much less any revivification of the Cold Wars East West destructive superpower rivalry. Building Construction Company. Thanks to fracking, it turns out that this town isbig enough for the both of us the U. S. and China in the Pacific Rim today, and China and India in Asia tomorrow. Think about that for a minute amidst all the continuing expert predictions of overpopulation and rising consumption bankrupting the planet to the point of non stop resource wars among thirsty great powers think oil and water, American ingenuity once again comes to the worlds rescue on both energy and food i. Just a decade ago, America imported almost two thirds of its crude oil and entertained plans for new infrastructure to facilitate imports of liquid natural gas. Today it surpasses Saudi Arabia on crude oil production and, according to the U. S. Department of Energy, will become a net exporter of crude oil in roughly a decades time. Moreover, by tapping into what is estimated to be the worlds second largest shale gas reserves China is number one, America has re vaulted itself to the leading ranks of world natural gas producers soon available for export. This sort of technological turnaround is quite frankly just as impressive as Chinas economic rise over the similarly long gestation period of the past quarter century. But again more importantly, Americas technological achievement essentially solves the structural challenge created by Chinas rapid ascension in the world power system but only if both Washington and Beijing become smart enough to realize that. President Barack Obama was absolutely correct in downsizing Americas war on terror from the Bush Administrations focus on regime toppling to hunting down and killing bad guys. Frankly, thats been Americas story on military interventions going all the way back to Panama and Manuel Noriega in 1. We dont take on governments anymore we take on badnonstate actors the Milosevic gang in Serbia, Al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan, the deck of 5. Label Tom And Jerry 121 LabelmasterIraq, Qaddafi in Libya, and so on. By re symmetricizing what has long been described as radical Islams asymmetrical war on the West, Obama right sized the terror war. Petty was rushed to the hospital Sunday night after he was found unconscious, not breathing and in full cardiac arrest. TMZ. EMTs. Please doong. CLS127. butuh banget ni. Thomas Edward Patrick Tom Brady, Jr. San Mateo, Califrnia, 3 de agosto de 1977 um jogador de futebol americano que atua como quarterback pelo New England. St. Louis Search Results from St. Louis Business Journal. A blog about globalizations evolution and Americas role in enabling its worldwide spread.